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Uncertainty Beliefs – Experiment Record

The Uncertainty Beliefs – Experiment Record is a structured worksheet designed to help clients challenge unhelpful beliefs about uncertainty using behavioral experiments.

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Psychology Tools resource: Uncertainty Beliefs – Experiment Record

Uncertainty Beliefs – Experiment Record

Life is uncertain – nobody can ever be 100% sure of what’s going to happen next. Some people are OK with this, but others find it unpleasant. If you have negative beliefs about uncertainty, it can play a role in difficulties like worry or anxiety.  But what if these beliefs aren’t completely true?

A helpful comparison is how scientists test their beliefs. Scientists try to hold their beliefs ‘lightly’ – they treat them as ideas or guesses about how the world works rather than facts. Then they test whether these guesses are accurate by setting up experiments.

This Uncertainty Beliefs – Experiment Record tool allows you to:

  • Identify a the belief about uncertainty that you’d like to test.
  • Design an experiment to test this belief.
  • Record what happened and learn from your experiment. 

Overview

Intolerance of uncertainty (IU) is a disposition which develops from one’s beliefs about uncertainty and its consequences (Dugas & Robichaud, 2007). IU has long been part of cognitive models of generalized anxiety disorder (GAD; e.g. Dugas, Gagnon, Ladouceur, Freeston, 1998) and is also increasingly recognized as a transdiagnostic risk factor for many clinical conditions, including anxiety, depression, obsessive-compulsive disorder, and eating disorders (Carleton et al, 2012; Toffolo et al, 2014; Renjan et al, 2016).

Two categories of beliefs about uncertainty are believed to be clinically important: (1) beliefs that uncertainty has negative implications for oneself and one’s behavior, and (2) beliefs that uncertainty is unfair and spoils everything (Hebert & Dugas, 2018). The Uncertainty Beliefs – Experiment Record worksheet helps clients to identify these beliefs and to design behavioral experiments to address them.

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