Jumping To Conclusions

The information handout describes jumping to conclusions – a cognitive distortion where individuals make hasty decisions or reach inaccurate conclusions that are not supported by the facts of a situation.

Download or send

Professional version

Offers theory, guidance, and prompts for mental health professionals. Downloads are in Fillable PDF format where appropriate.

Client version

Includes client-friendly guidance. Downloads are in Fillable PDF format where appropriate.

Overview

Cognitive distortions, cognitive biases, or ‘unhelpful thinking styles’ are characteristic ways in which our thoughts can become biased (Beck, 1963). Jumping to conclusions (JTC) is a cognitive distortion in which individuals make hasty decisions or reach inaccurate conclusions that are unwarranted by the facts of a situation. This thinking style usually takes two forms. First, people sometimes make "premature decisions." This means they might stop gathering information too soon or fail to consider all the facts, which can lead to wrong conclusions. Second, people might "over-adjust" their thinking by changing their decisions based on very little evidence that contradicts what they initially believed.

The Jumping To Conclusions information handout forms part of the cognitive distortions series, designed to help clients and therapists to work more effectively with common thinking biases.

Why Use This Resource?

Jumping to conclusions is a common cognitive distortion. Using this resource can help clients:

  • Learn about cognitive distortions.
  • Recognize when they think in biased and inaccurate ways.
  • Address jumping to conclusions and reduce its impact.

Key Benefits

Learning

Provides insight into the nature of cognitive distortions.

Awareness

Encourages recognition and monitoring of cognitive biases.

Intervention

Provides strategies to tackle jumping to conclusions.

Who is this for?

Anxiety

Interpreting ambiguous situations as threatening.

Delusions

Hasty conclusions resulting delusional explanations for events.

Other Difficulties

Jumping to conclusions has been associated with chronic pain, psychosis, and suicide.

Integrating it into your practice

01

Educate

Teach clients about cognitive distortions.

02

Discuss

Explore whether clients relate to jumping to conclusions.

03

Monitor

Help the clients recognize when they are jumping to conclusions.

04

Intervene

Address jumping to conclusions using techniques such as slowing down and re-evaluating automatic thoughts.

Theoretical Background & Therapist Guidance

Catching automatic thoughts and (re)appraising cognitions is a core component of traditional cognitive therapy (Beck et al, 1979; Beck, 1995; Kennerley, Kirk, Westbrook, 2007). Identifying the presence and nature of cognitive biases is frequently a helpful way of introducing this concept - clients are often quick to appreciate and identify with the concept of ‘unhelpful thinking styles’, and can easily be trained to notice the presence of biases in their own automatic thoughts. Once biases have been identified, clients can be taught to appraise the accuracy of these automatic thoughts and draw new conclusions.

Jumping to conclusions is a style of thinking where people make hasty judgments or decisions based on a limited amount of information. For example, they might think the worst is certain to happen, assume they know what other people are thinking, or use their intuition to make snap judgements. Unfortunately, these leaps in thinking don’t take all the facts into consideration, which can lead to conclusions that aren’t always accurate or helpful.

As with many cognitive biases, there may be evolutionary reasons why people jump to conclusions. Gilbert (1998, 2013) describes JTC as a ‘better-safe-than-sorry’ style of thinking that has enabled humans to make rapid decisions in threatening situations. While this can lead to mistakes, assuming the worst and taking defensive action unnecessarily is a less risky strategy. In addition, thinking about others categorically (e.g., “they are all bad”) may have helped justify aggressive and/or exploitative actions towards outgroups.

What's inside

  • An overview of cognitive distortions.
  • Detailed insights into jumping to conclusions and its impact.
  • Strategies for recognizing and addressing this cognitive distortion.
  • Suggestions for discussing this cognitive bias with clients.
Get access to this resource

FAQs

Introduce self-monitoring so clients are more aware of making hasty judgments. Encourage them to slow down and recognize these thoughts when they occur.
Deliberately slowing down, collecting more information before reaching a conclusion, and re-evaluating hasty judgments can all be helpful.

How This Resource Improves Clinical Outcomes

Integrating this resource into clinical practice can help clients:

  • Become more aware of cognitive distortions.
  • Reduce their tendency to jump to conclusions.
  • Develop more helpful and accurate judgments and explanations for events.

References And Further Reading

  • Beck, A. T. (1963). Thinking and depression: I. Idiosyncratic content and cognitive distortions. Archives of General Psychiatry, 9, 324-333. DOI: 10.1001/archpsyc.1963.01720160014002.
  • Beck, A. T., Rush, A. J., Shaw, B. F., & Emery, G. (1979). Cognitive therapy of depression. Guilford Press.
  • Beck, J. S. (1995). Cognitive behavior therapy: Basics and beyond. Guilford Press.
  • Bensi, L., & Giusberti, F. (2007). Trait anxiety and reasoning under uncertainty. Personality and Individual Differences, 43, 827-838. DOI: 10.1016/j.paid.2007.02.007.
  • Blake, E., Dobson, K. S., Sheptycki, A. R., & Drapeau, M. (2016). The relationship between depression severity and cognitive errors. American Journal of Psychotherapy, 70, 203-221. DOI: 10.1176/appi.psychotherapy.2016.70.2.203.
  • Burns, D. D. (2020). Feeling great: The revolutionary new treatment for depression and anxiety. PESI Publishing.
  • Byrne, A., & Eysenck, M. W. (1993). Individual differences in positive and negative interpretive biases. Personality and Individual Differences, 14, 849-851. DOI: 10.1016/0191-8869(93)90100-H.
  • Clark, D. A., & Beck, A. T. (2010). Cognitive therapy of anxiety disorders: Science and practice. Guilford Press.
  • Darvishi, E., Golestan, S., Demehri, F., & Jamalnia, S. (2020). A cross-sectional study on cognitive errors and obsessive-compulsive disorders among young people during the outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019. Activitas Nervosa Superior, 62, 137-142. DOI: 10.1007/s41470-020-00077-x.
  • Dudley, R., Taylor, P., Wickham, S., & Hutton, P. (2016). Psychosis, delusions and the “jumping to conclusions” reasoning bias: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Schizophrenia Bulletin, 42, 652–665. DOI: 10.1093/schbul/sbv150.
  • Fine, C., Gardner, M., Craigie, J., & Gold, I. (2007). Hopping, skipping or jumping to conclusions? Clarifying the role of the JTC bias in delusions. Cognitive Neuropsychiatry, 12, 46-77. DOI: 10.1080/13546800600750597.
  • Flavell, J. H. (1979). Metacognition and cognitive monitoring: A new area of cognitive-developmental inquiry. American Psychologist, 34, 906. DOI: 10.1037/0003-066X.34.10.906.
  • Freeman, D., Pugh, K., & Garety, P. (2008). Jumping to conclusions and paranoid ideation in the general population. Schizophrenia Research, 102, 254-260. DOI: 10.1016/j.schres.2008.03.020.
  • Freeman, D., Freeman, J., & Garety, P. (2006). Overcoming paranoid and suspicious thoughts: A self-help guide using cognitive behavioural techniques. Robinson.
  • Freeman, D., Emsley, R., Diamond, R., Collett, N., Bold, E., Chadwick, E., & Twivy, E. (2021). Comparison of a theoretically driven cognitive therapy (The Feeling Safe Programme) with befriending for the treatment of persistent persecutory delusions: a parallel, single-blind, randomised controlled trial. The Lancet Psychiatry, 8(8), 696-707.
  • Garety, P. A., Hemsley, D. R., & Wessely, S. (1991). Reasoning in deluded schizophrenic and paranoid patients: Biases in performance on a probabilistic inference task. Journal of Nervous and Mental Disease, 179, 194-201.
  • Garety, P. A., & Freeman, D. (2013). The past and future of delusions research: from the inexplicable to the treatable. British Journal of Psychiatry, 203, 327-333. DOI: 10.1192/bjp.bp.113.126953.
  • Gilbert, P. (1998). The evolved basis and adaptive functions of cognitive distortions. British Journal of Medical Psychology, 71, 447-463. DOI: 10.1111/j.2044-8341.1998.tb01002.x.
  • Gilbert, P. (2013). The complete guide to overcoming depression. Robinson.
  • Glöckner, A., & Moritz, S. (2009). A fine-grained analysis of the jumping-to-conclusions bias in schizophrenia: Data-gathering, response confidence, and information integration. Judgment and Decision Making, 4, 587-600. DOI: 10.1017/S1930297500001157.
  • Johnstone, K. M., Chen, J., & Balzan, R. P. (2017). An investigation into the jumping-to-conclusions bias in social anxiety. Consciousness and Cognition, 48, 55-65. DOI: 10.1016/j.concog.2016.10.012.
  • Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, fast and slow. Farrar, Straus, and Giroux.
  • Lincoln, T. M., Lange, J., Burau, J., Exner, C., & Moritz, S. (2010). The effect of state anxiety on paranoid ideation and jumping to conclusions. An experimental investigation. Schizophrenia Bulletin, 36, 1140-1148. DOI: 10.1093/schbul/sbp029 19429844.
  • Maric, M., Heyne, D. A., van Widenfelt, B. M., & Westenberg, P. M. (2011). Distorted cognitive processing in youth: the structure of negative cognitive errors and their associations with anxiety. Cognitive Therapy and Research, 35, 11-20. DOI: 10.1007/s10608-009-9285-3.
  • Mathews, A., & MacLeod, C. (1994). Cognitive approaches to emotion and emotional disorders. Annual Review of Psychology, 45, 25-50. DOI: 10.1146/annurev.ps.45.020194.000325.
  • McLean, B. F., Mattiske, J. K., & Balzan, R. P. (2017). Association of the jumping to conclusions and evidence integration biases with delusions in psychosis: a detailed meta-analysis. Schizophrenia Bulletin, 43, 344-354. DOI: 10.1093/schbul/sbw056.
  • Noël, V. A., Francis, S. E., Williams-Outerbridge, K., & Fung, S. L. (2012). Catastrophizing as a predictor of depressive and anxious symptoms in children. Cognitive Therapy and Research, 36, 311-320. DOI: 10.1007/s10608-011-9370-2.
  • Parkes, C., Bezzina, O., Chapman, A., Luteran, A., Freeston, M. H., & Robinson, L. J. (2019). Jumping to conclusions in persistent pain using a somatosensory modification of the beads task. Journal of Psychosomatic Research, 126, 109819. DOI: 10.1016/j.jpsychores.2019.109819.
  • Sastre-Buades, A., Ochoa, S., Lorente-Rovira, E., Barajas, A., Grasa, E., López-Carrilero, R., & Villellas, R. (2021). Jumping to conclusions and suicidal behavior in depression and psychosis. Journal of Psychiatric Research, 137, 514-520. DOI: 10.1016/j.jpsychires.2021.03.024.
  • Shafran, R., Thordarson, D. S., & Rachman, S. (1996). Thought-action fusion in obsessive compulsive disorder. Journal of Anxiety Disorders, 10, 379-391. DOI: 10.1016/0887-6185(96)00018-7.
  • So, S. H. W., Siu, N. Y. F., Wong, H. L., Chan, W., & Garety, P. A. (2016). ‘Jumping to conclusions’ data-gathering bias in psychosis and other psychiatric disorders—Two meta-analyses of comparisons between patients and healthy individuals. Clinical Psychology Review, 46, 151-167. DOI: 10.1016/j.cpr.2016.05.001.
  • Stott, R., Mansell, W., Salkovskis, P., Lavender, A., & Cartwright-Hatton, S. (2010). Oxford guide to metaphors in CBT: Building cognitive bridges. Oxford University Press.
  • Turkington, D., Kingdon, D., Rathod, S., Wilcock, S. K. J., Brabban, A., Cromarty, P., Dudley, R., Gray, R., Pelton, J., Siddle, R., & Weiden, P. (2009). Back to life, back to normality: Cognitive therapy, recovery, and psychosis. Cambridge University Press.
  • Veen, G., & Arntz, A. (2000). Multidimensional dichotomous thinking characterizes borderline personality disorder. Cognitive Therapy and Research, 24, 23-45. DOI: 10.1023/A:1005498824175.
  • Waller, H., Freeman, D., Jolley, S., Dunn, G., & Garety, P. (2011). Targeting reasoning biases in delusions: a pilot study of the Maudsley Review Training Programme for individuals with persistent, high conviction delusions. Journal of Behavior Therapy and Experimental Psychiatry, 42, 414-421. DOI: 10.1016/j.jbtep.2011.03.001.
  • Ward, T., & Garety, P. A. (2019). Fast and slow thinking in distressing delusions: A review of the literature and implications for targeted therapy. Schizophrenia Research, 203, 80-87. DOI: 10.1016/j.schres.2017.08.045.
  • Ward, T., Hardy, A., Holm, R., Collett, N., Rus‐Calafell, M., Sacadura, C., & Garety, P. (2022). SlowMo therapy, a new digital blended therapy for fear of harm from others: An account of therapy personalisation within a targeted intervention. Psychology and Psychotherapy: Theory, Research and Practice, 95, 423-446. DOI: 10.1111/papt.12377.
  • Wells, A. (1997). Cognitive therapy of anxiety disorders: A practice manual and conceptual guide. John Wiley and Sons.
  • Westbrook, D., Kennerley, H., & Kirk, J. (2011). An introduction to cognitive behaviour therapy: Skills and applications (2nd ed.). Sage.